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Basic Question 4 of 8

Assume a time series model has ARCH (1) errors. The variance of the errors in period t + 1 is modeled as σt+12 = 5.2 + 0.35 σt2. If the variance of the errors in one period is 2, the predicted variance of the error in the next period should be ______.

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I am using your study notes and I know of at least 5 other friends of mine who used it and passed the exam last Dec. Keep up your great work!
Barnes

Barnes

Learning Outcome Statements

explain autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and describe how ARCH models can be applied to predict the variance of a time series;

CFA® 2025 Level II Curriculum, Volume 1, Module 5.