- CFA Exams
- CFA Level I Exam
- Topic 9. Portfolio Management
- Learning Module 37. Economics and Investment Markets
- Subject 3. The Yield Curve and the Business Cycle
CFA Practice Question
Which statement about the break-even inflation rate is true?
B. Break-even inflation rates are simply the markets' best guess of future inflation over the relevant investment horizon.
C. The 10-year break-even inflation rate is the sum of θt,10 and πt,10, where θt,10 is the expected 10-year inflation and πt,10 is the risk premium for the uncertainty of the expected 10-year inflation.
A. The 3-month break-even inflation rate is very close to the 3-month expected inflation rate.
B. Break-even inflation rates are simply the markets' best guess of future inflation over the relevant investment horizon.
C. The 10-year break-even inflation rate is the sum of θt,10 and πt,10, where θt,10 is the expected 10-year inflation and πt,10 is the risk premium for the uncertainty of the expected 10-year inflation.
Correct Answer: A
A is true. The inflation premium is negligible for short-term default-free securities.
B is false. Break-even inflation rates are not simply the markets' best estimate of future inflation over the relevant investment horizon. They also include a risk premium to compensate investors for their uncertainty about future inflation.
C is false. The 10-year break-even inflation rate incorporates both θt,10 and πt,10 but is not simply the sum of the two.
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