- CFA Exams
- CFA Level I Exam
- Topic 1. Quantitative Methods
- Learning Module 5. Time-Series Analysis
- Subject 2. Autoregressive (AR) Time-Series Models
CFA Practice Question
When forecasts are obtained by fitting a model and computing minimum mean-square-error forecasts from the model, the differences between the observed and the fitted values are:
II. in-sample forecast errors.
III. out-of sample forecast errors.
I. residuals from the fitted model.
II. in-sample forecast errors.
III. out-of sample forecast errors.
Correct Answer: I and II
Unlike the out-of-sample errors, they are not true ex ante forecasting errors, because the model is typically determined by estimating parameters from all the data in the sample period.
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