- CFA Exams
- 2023 Level I > Topic 5. Equity Investments
- 4. Principles of Strategic Analysis
Seeing is believing!
Before you order, simply sign up for a free user account and in seconds you'll be experiencing the best in CFA exam preparation.
Subject 4. Principles of Strategic Analysis
- The threat of substitutes. Substitutes not only limit profits in normal times, they also reduce the bonanza an industry can reap in good times. The threat of a substitute is high if it offers an attractive price-performance trade-off to the industry's product and/or the buyer's cost of switching to the substitute is low.
- The bargaining power of customers. How strong is the position of buyers? Can they work together in ordering large volumes? This force influences the prices that firms can charge. It can also influence cost and investment as powerful buyers demand costly services.
- The bargaining power of suppliers. How strong is the position of sellers? Suppliers, if powerful, can exert an influence on the producing industry, such as selling raw materials at a high price to capture some of the industry's profits. In some cases, a monopolist supplier can dictate its terms to entire industries. This force determines the cost of raw materials and other inputs.
- The threat of new entrants. How easy or difficult is it for new entrants to start competing? Barriers to entry are unique industry characteristics that define the industry. Barriers reduce the rate of entry of new firms, thus maintaining a level of profits for those already in the industry. From a strategic perspective, barriers can be created or exploited to enhance a firm's competitive advantage.
- The intensity of rivalry. Does strong competition between the existing players exist? Is one player very dominant or are all equal in strength and size?
The elements of a thorough industry analysis include the following:
Barriers to Entry
In theory, any firm should be able to enter and exit a market, and if free entry and exit exists, then profits always should be nominal. In reality, however, industries possess characteristics that protect the high profit levels of firms in the market and inhibit additional rivals from entering the market. These are barriers to entry. They are advantages that incumbents have relative to new entrants.
The threat of entry in an industry depends on the height of entry barriers that are present. If entry barriers are low, the threat of entry is high and industry profitability is moderated.
Generally, high barriers to entry can lead to better pricing and less competitive industry conditions. However, barriers to entry are not barriers to success, and high barriers to entry do not necessarily lead to good pricing power and attractive industry economics. Barriers to entry can also change over time.
Industry Concentration
Industry concentration is often, although not always, a sign that an industry may have pricing power and rational competition. Industry fragmentation is a much stronger signal, however, that the industry is competitive and pricing power is limited.
Certainly there are important exceptions. There are industries that are concentrated with weak pricing power and there are also industries that are fragmented with strong pricing power. The level of industry concentration is just a guideline.
Industry Capacity
Tight capacity -> more pricing power
Overcapacity -> price cutting
The analyst should think not only about current capacity conditions but also about future changes in capacity levels: how long does it take for supply and demand to reach equilibrium? Are the tight supply conditions sustainable?
In general it takes longer to shift physical capacity than to shift financial and human capital to new uses.
Market Share Stability
Stable market shares -> less competitive industries
Unstable market shares -> highly competitive industries and limited pricing power
Industry Life Cycle
The industry life cycle reflects the vitality of an industry over time. Each industry develops along a similar cyclical path that includes the following stages:
- Embryonic: new products, slow growth, high price, weak revenue, high-risk investments.
- Growth: growing sales, significant profitability, and lack of competition.
- Shakeout: slowing growth, intense competition, and declining profitability. Competitive strategy is very important at this stage, since above-average growth can be attained only by increasing the market share.
- Mature: little or no growth, industry consolidation, and relatively high barriers to entry.
- Decline: falling demand, sales, and negative growth. Some companies fail, others exit the industry to compete in other lines of business. Companies that have the strongest competitive advantages remain in the industry and fight for market share.
There are certainly limitations of industry life-cycle analysis. Demographics and changes in technology as well as political and regulatory environments all play a role in affecting the cash flow and risk prospects of different industries. Some stages may become longer or shorter than expected and some stages may even be skipped altogether. Another limitation is that not all companies in an industry have similar performances.
Price Competition
Price competition and thinking like a customer are important factors that are often overlooked when analyzing an industry. Whatever factors most influence customer purchasing decisions are also likely to be the focus of competitive rivalry in the industry. Broadly, industries for which price is a large factor in customer purchase decisions tend to be more competitive than industries in which customers value other attributes more highly.
Practice Question 1
The elements of a thorough industry analysis are especially helpful in evaluating the following competitive forces: ______.I. the threat of substitute products
II. the bargaining power of customers
III. the bargaining power of suppliers
IV. the threat of new entrants
V. the intensity of rivalryCorrect Answer: IV and V
These two forces are broadly applicable because all companies have competitors and must worry about new entrants to their industries.
Practice Question 2
The embryonic phase in the industry life cycle is characterized by ______.I. questionable acceptance of products
II. negative profitability
III. high-volume producers
IV. falling demand
V. high mortality ratesCorrect Answer: I, II and V
III: mature phase; IV: decline phase.
Practice Question 3
The growth phase in the industry life cycle is characterized by ______.I. high-volume producers
II. margins that are below average in the economy
III. companies consolidating to maintain profit margins
IV. lack of competition in the market
V. growing sales and significant profitabilityCorrect Answer: IV and V
Practice Question 4
The mature phase in the industry life cycle is characterized by ______.I. accepted products
II. a growth rate limited to that of the economy
III. participants competing for shares in a stable industryCorrect Answer: I, II and III
Practice Question 5
The decline phase in the industry life cycle is characterized by ______.I. shifting of demand to new products
II. margins that are below average in the economy
III. an industry trend line that corresponds to that of the general economy
IV. some companies failing, others exiting the industry to compete in other lines of business
V. uncertain industry growthCorrect Answer: I, II and IV
Practice Question 6
According to the industry life cycle analysis, ______A. all companies in an industry will have similar performance.
B. mature industries tend to be more competitive than new industries.
C. very profitable companies can exist in an industry with below-average profitability.Correct Answer: C
A: Some companies may follow a different pattern.
B: The opposite is generally true.
Practice Question 7
According to the textbook, which industry is considered "unstable" in terms of industry stability?A. Branded pharmaceuticals
B. Oil services
C. Confections/candyCorrect Answer: B
In this industry, market shares may shift frequently depending on technology offerings and demand levels.
Practice Question 8
Which of the following characteristics is not representative of an industry that's in the maturity stage of its life cycle?A. Competition is intense among the rivals within the industry.
B. There are a lot of companies from other industries entering into this particular industry.
C. Instead of product differentiation, price is the primary competitive weapon.Correct Answer: B
As an industry matures, sales are either stagnant or growing slowly. This lack of industry sales growth forces companies to increase sales by stealing market share from each other, often using price to lure customers. These factors make the industry a very unattractive market for new competitors to enter into.
Practice Question 9
An industry experiencing rapidly increasing demand and improving profitability is best characterized as being in the ______ stage.A. embryonic
B. growth
C. shakeoutCorrect Answer: B
There is a low level of competition between companies in this industry.
Practice Question 10
An industry experiencing slowing growth, intense competition, and declining profitability is best characterized as being in the ______ stage.A. growth
B. shakeout
C. matureCorrect Answer: B
Companies should focus on reducing their cost structures and building brand loyalty in this stage.
Practice Question 11
The focus of companies during the shakeout stage should be ______A. re-investing their cash flows in new products.
B. building scale.
C. reducing cost structures and building brand loyalty.Correct Answer: C
Practice Question 12
Industry consolidation usually happens in the ______ stage.A. shakeout
B. mature
C. declineCorrect Answer: B
Practice Question 13
The branded pharmaceuticals industry is a ______ industry.A. cyclical
B. defensive
C. growthCorrect Answer: B
Demand for most health care services does not fluctuate with the economic cycle, but demand is not strong enough to be considered "growth."

Study notes from a previous year's CFA exam:
4. Principles of Strategic Analysis