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Subject 1. The fundamental law
- Strategy's breadth (BR): the number of independent, active decisions available to an active manager per year. It is the number of times per year that an active manager can use his/her skill. It measures diversification.
- Information coefficient (IC): it measures the manager's skill, or the quality of these investment decisions.
![](graph/l2/18/activemanager1.jpg)
In general, improving skill (IC) will lead to more increase in IR compared to increasing BR.
Level of Aggressiveness
![](graph/l2/18/activemanager2.jpg)
The desired level of aggressiveness will increase directly with the:
- Increase in the skill level because it increases the chances of success.
- Increase in square root of the breadth because it facilitates the manager to diversify among the active bets.
Value Added
![](graph/l2/18/activemanager3.jpg)
Strategies:
- A market timer has good skill: a low BR and high IC.
- A stock selector checks a large number of companies intermittently: a high BR and low IC.
- A specialist examines a small number of companies constantly: a high BR and low IC.
In summary, information ratios, the key to active management, depend on both skill and breadth.
Practice Question 1
The measure of a manager's opportunities is:
A. information ratio.
B. strategy's breadth.
C. information coefficient.
All investors seek managers with the highest information ratios.
Practice Question 2
Which one measures the quality of investment decisions?
A. information ratio.
B. strategy's breadth.
C. information coefficient.
It is the measure of skill - the correlation of each forecast with the actual outcomes.
Practice Question 3
The desired level of aggressiveness (ω) will increase with an increase in:
I. BR.
II. IC.
III. λ.
λ is the aversion to residual risk. It is inversely related to the ω.
Practice Question 4
A market timer has independent information about market returns each quarter. To have an IR of 0.8, he needs an IC of:
A. 0.20.
B. 0.4.
C. 0.8.
0.8 = IC x 41/2, IC = 0.4. A high level of skill translates into a high information ratio. Note that while market timing strategies can generate very large returns in a particular year, they're heavily dependent on luck. On a risk-adjusted basis, the value added will be small. This will not surprise most institutional managers, who avoid market timing for just this reason.
Practice Question 5
What attributes of an investment strategy will determine the information ratio?
I. breadth.
II. information coefficient.
III. residual risk.
Practice Question 6
An active manager follows 2 companies and revises assessments on each 100 times per year. The manager is a:
A. Market timer.
B. Stock selector.
C. Specialist.
The manager increases its breadth by examining a small number of companies constantly, and does not need a high skill level.
Practice Question 7
To double the information ratio, we need to do one of the following:
A. double our skill.
B. double the breadth.
C. double the residual risk.
We need to double our skill, increase our breadth by a factor of 4, or do some combination of the above.
Practice Question 8
A stock selector follows 100 companies and revise assessments each quarter. To have an IR of 0.6, he needs an IC of:A. 0.03.
B. 0.06.
C. 0.006.Correct Answer: A
0.6 = IC x 4001/2, IC = 0.03.
Practice Question 9
A specialist follows 1 company and revise assessments 25 times each quarter. To have an IR of 0.6, he needs an IC of:A. 0.06.
B. 0.12.
C. 0.0015.Correct Answer: A
0.6 = IC x 1001/2, IC = 0.06.
Practice Question 10
If a manager makes a quarterly forecast of the market, which consists of 10,000 stocks, and the information coefficient for the market forecast is 0.2, the information ratio for the market timing is:A. 0.2.
B. 0.4.
C. 20.Correct Answer: B
BR1/2 x IC = 41/2 x 0.2 = 0.4.
![](images/photo/photo12.jpg)
Study notes from a previous year's CFA exam:
1. The fundamental law