- CFA Exams
- CFA Level I Exam
- Topic 1. Quantitative Methods
- Learning Module 5. Sampling and Estimation
- Subject 7. Data Snooping Bias, Sample Selection Bias, Look-Ahead Bias, and Time-Period Bias
CFA Practice Question
What is the best way to test for data-mining bias?
B. Examine the record of the researchers.
C. Examine the database used for bias.
A. Evaluate results against out-of-sample data.
B. Examine the record of the researchers.
C. Examine the database used for bias.
Correct Answer: A
The downfall of most analyses that suffer from data-mining bias is their performance with out-of-sample data. Data from the sample itself should fit well, because that is the data used in creating the rule. A better test is one based on data not used in creating it. The best type of out-of-sample data is, of course, future data - and the rule's future performance.
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