- CFA Exams
- CFA Level I Exam
- Study Session 11. Equity Valuation (3)
- Reading 28. Free Cash Flow Valuation
- Subject 5. Free cash flow model variations
CFA Practice Question
Uwe Henschel is doing a valuation of TechnoSchaft using the following information:
- 2003 sales per share = $100.
- Net profit margin = 20%.
- Net new investment in fixed capital = 30% of sales increase (50% of these investments is financed with debt).
- Investment in working capital = 20% of sales increase.
- Beta = 1.3.
- Risk-free rate = 4%.
- Equity risk premium = 6%.
He forecasts the following future sales pattern for the company:

The stock of the company is worth ______using the most appropriate type of FCFE model.
A. $302.56
B. $328.96
C. $331.14
Explanation: The company is converging to a stable rate of 5% by 2008. The two-stage model is appropriate, since the company is obviously in a transitional stage.

First we calculate free cash flows to equity for the company:

We then calculate the cost of equity, which will serve as the discount rate in our model: r = rf + beta x equity premium = 0.04 + 1.3 x 0.06 = 0.118, or 11.8%.
To find the value of the company, we need to calculate its terminal value at the end of 2008: Terminal value TV2008 = FCFE2009 / (r - g) = 29.57 / (0.118 - 0.05) = $434.85.
We now discount all future terminal free cash flows and the terminal value to the present (end of 2003):

User Contributed Comments 16
User | Comment |
---|---|
aero | For 1 question test it`s ok.... |
ragingrazz | Yep, if this was this long on the test, I would just guess so I could save time for other equally weighted questions... |
danlan2 | Note S as sales, and DS and Sales change, then NI=0.2S, and WC+FC-Net Borrowing=0.15DS+0.2DS=0.35DS We will get S, DS and FCFE as follows: 04 05 06 07 08 09 S 113 125.43 136.72 146.29 153.6 161.28 DS 13 12.43 11.29 9.57 7.31 7.68 FCFE 18.05 20.74 23.39 25.91 28.16 29.57 Then calculate as the given explanation. |
tumanta | One gr8 thing to note here is that constant model is applied not in 07 but in 08. This is because the growth in FCFE is constant starting 4m 08 only (The underlying reason being difference in change in FCI and WCI) |
volkovv | There is a shortcut here. Yo can simplify FCFE calculation. FCFE(t) = S(t-1) * [.2 - .15*g(t)] Took me 20 minutes to derive this formula, I agree with others, if you see a question like this on the exam, guess it and save preciosu time. |
volkovv | FCFE(2004) = 100 * (.2 - .15*.13) = 18.05 FCFE(2005) = 113 * (.2 - .15*.11) = 20.74 and so on... |
pjdeschenes | I used the H-Model as a short cut: [CF * (1+gl) + H * CF * (gs - gl)]/ (r - gl) = [(18.05 * (1.05) + 2.5 * 18.05 * (.13-.05)]/(.118-.05) Note that the declining growth period is 5 yrs, so H = 2.5. |
DZ2008 | and did you get the exact same answer using the H-model? |
Yurik74 | 331.80 by using H formula - pretty close! and that's proably the very right way to solve this problem! |
rommy | how did you get 18.05 for the cash flow? |
rhardin | He assumed that the Dividend was equal to FCFE above, and calculated the H model under that assumption. |
kazec | No such assumption is needed, Rhardin; H-model is just a math approximation. |
somk | this question is an "enhanced interrogation technique". i feel am ready to confess to anything. even things i didnt do |
philjoe | i guess you just assume zero depreciation? |
janis36 | I was desperately trying to find a shortcut so I dont have to calculate all the specific FCFE. To no avail. |
tkn07 | Any idea why numerator for Terminal Value computation was not multiplied with 1.05% considering "g" is 5% |